Results & Accuracy
Every prediction tracked. Every result checked. No hiding.
Our Live Record — 2025/26 to 2026/27
Overview
League Breakdown
| League | Predictions | Match Outcome | Correct Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | — | — | — |
| La Liga | — | — | — |
| Bundesliga | — | — | — |
| Serie A | — | — | — |
| Ligue 1 | — | — | — |
Pundit Comparison
How our model stacks up against the pundits and the market.
| Predictor | Predictions | Result Accuracy | Exact Scores | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OriginalXG | — | — | — | xG statistical model |
| Chris Sutton (BBC) | 320 | 36.3% | 8.1% | BBC Sport |
These two rows don't cover the same matches, so read the comparison with that in mind. Chris Sutton's figures are Premier League only, 2025/26 through gameweek 32, via MyFootballFacts. Ours cover all five leagues across every season we've published, 2025/26 onward.
Every Prediction. Every Result.
Full transparency. Here's every prediction we've published alongside the actual result, across every season we've run. Filter by league.
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All-Time Backtest — 2014/15 to 2024/25
Season by Season — Top Picks
Backtest of our recommended picks against 18,316 real matches with real bookmaker odds from football-data.co.uk.
| Season | Picks | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014/15 | 57 | 72% | +2.4% |
| 2015/16 | 52 | 69% | +7.7% |
| 2016/17 | 80 | 76% | +6.2% |
| 2017/18 | 82 | 74% | +7.8% |
| 2018/19 | 55 | 76% | +9.0% |
| 2019/20 | 54 | 67% | -6.7% |
| 2020/21 | 42 | 69% | +9.8% |
| 2021/22 | 55 | 69% | +3.5% |
| 2022/23 | 89 | 76% | +16.2% |
| 2023/24 | 82 | 73% | +7.5% |
| 2024/25 | 68 | 74% | +8.4% |
| Total | 716 | 74% | +8.0% |
Odds sourced from football-data.co.uk (Bet365, Pinnacle, best available pre-match closing odds). xG data from Understat. Every match is verifiable.
By League — 11-Season Totals
Which leagues our model performs best in across the full backtest.
| League | Picks | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 160 | 75% | +9.7% |
| La Liga | 166 | 74% | +5.2% |
| Bundesliga | 132 | 73% | +5.4% |
| Serie A | 133 | 77% | +10.2% |
| Ligue 1 | 125 | 67% | +2.1% |